When I read these threads, I sometimes get the impression that many don't have a good idea of some of the basic cost/margin structures of consumer electronics goods.
For starters, the cost and market dynamics are very different between mass-market "commodity" products and specialist products. If you read the posts about video products on the Audiogon forums, it's immediately evident that what constitutes "expensive" or "worth the money" is much different in the video world, where virtually ALL products are sold in a mass-market, commodity context.
In hard economic times for a commodity market, what happens is that the larger, stronger companies have more resources to weather the conditions, and they will force the smaller companies out of their markets or out of business, or they will acquire them. This is exactly what happend in the automotive market in the 1930s, and something similar appears to be happening in the flat-panel television market (and its related OEM parts market) today. Consumer prices generally drop (frequently below actual manufacturing cost) as inventory is shed, and as stable companies strategize to force out their less-stable rivals. Just like poker.
But for a specialist, niche product like high-end audio, consumer prices are much more closely tied to actual manufacturing cost, and company survival is more closely tied to sound business management. Manufacturers will go out of business because their products are overpriced or irrelevant, or they fail to adapt to changing levels of demand. But the manufacturing costs will remain largely the same, and the players in a specialty market are WAY too small to really affect this, so the end price to the consumer will change relatively little.
So in a word, no.
For starters, the cost and market dynamics are very different between mass-market "commodity" products and specialist products. If you read the posts about video products on the Audiogon forums, it's immediately evident that what constitutes "expensive" or "worth the money" is much different in the video world, where virtually ALL products are sold in a mass-market, commodity context.
In hard economic times for a commodity market, what happens is that the larger, stronger companies have more resources to weather the conditions, and they will force the smaller companies out of their markets or out of business, or they will acquire them. This is exactly what happend in the automotive market in the 1930s, and something similar appears to be happening in the flat-panel television market (and its related OEM parts market) today. Consumer prices generally drop (frequently below actual manufacturing cost) as inventory is shed, and as stable companies strategize to force out their less-stable rivals. Just like poker.
But for a specialist, niche product like high-end audio, consumer prices are much more closely tied to actual manufacturing cost, and company survival is more closely tied to sound business management. Manufacturers will go out of business because their products are overpriced or irrelevant, or they fail to adapt to changing levels of demand. But the manufacturing costs will remain largely the same, and the players in a specialty market are WAY too small to really affect this, so the end price to the consumer will change relatively little.
So in a word, no.