DVD Audio vs SACD?


Time to buy a DVDE player. One of the questions that is plaguing my mind is the choice of DVD audio or SACD which these days influences the choice of manufacturer. Sony and Phillips has an intent to push SACD while the rest of the world via the record companies are pushing DVD Audio.
I know this answer is not easy and I am sure there are strong opinons out there, I would like to hear them.
So who will be the the winner??
Rich
richnus
The Absolute Sound has an editorial piece in their current issue stating we consumers now have a golden chance to influence which format is adopted by supporting the SACD format. In the opinion of TAS and other audio mags, SACD is clearly the better format -- but DVD-A could be the eventual winner if manufacturers alone make the decision(rather like the Beta vs. VHS format war). There is no question that SACD is technicall the better format, but that is not the sole determinant of which format prevails in the market place. So, fellow audiophiles, it's time to make our money and votes be heard. Go SACD, beat DVD-A!!! (sorry, but I've been without a college football fix since the last Rose Bowl).
Well what this seems to be adding up to is as stated above the Beta vs VHS, only I think that this time Beta ( SACD) is going to win so I guess I will get the Sony 9000ES, unless someone has a better option for a good player.
Rich
SACD may live, but I don't think it will replace consumer CDs for the same reasons mentioned above. At best, I think they'll be able to win over the audiophile market. They may win a larger market, but I don't see that happening for years...maybe decades.

Sony owns many major record labels...their own, Columbia, CBS, Capitol(?), etc. They certainly have a huge back catalog available to them, and I'm sure they can have some influence over certain artists recording on their digital technology. Unfortunately, I don't think that many artists will want to record digitally for awhile. Digital recording is still "taboo" to many musicians and engineers.
The deciding factor, in my humble opinion, is whether who can flood the market with high quality MULTI-CHANNEL software. I've tried both Marantz SA-1 (2-channel) vs a relatively "inexpensive" Toshiba 9200 DVD-A using a multi-channel DVD-A and the multi-channel is clearly the winner.
I haven't seen any multi-channel SACD software despite that Philips has a multi-channel player. Maybe this is a major strategic screwup by the SONY/Philips camp; i.e., they fail the take advantage of the time they stole from the DVD-A delay.
Who can tell, but DVD-A could still win out in the end. There millions of DVD players being sold and millions more will be sold in the next year or two. Most of these are 24bit/96mhz. As with all things electronic, DVD-A technology will be standard someday soon, replacing 24/96. These future players will most likely sell for the same $200 to $300. Joe Consumer who only wants to watch movies and listen to music on your typical mass market system will be (and currently is) very happy with his DVD machine that also plays CDs. This natural progression in the DVD player gives DVD-A hundreds of millions of potential customers assuming the typical mass market DVD player will have this technology someday soon.


Also do not forget that four years ago, HDCD superiority was suppose to make regular CDs obsolete. Now ordinary 24/96 machines sound about as good as HDCD, so HDCD is probably obsolete already. DVD-A is basically 24bit/192mhz. How soon will these DAC chips be standard, and inside the typical DVD player I mention above??? We will see ??