I've been servicing consumer electronics since 1974. I've yet to see a fire in **any** preamp, tube or solid state that was not caused by a lightning strike. Not saying it can't happen; I **am** saying that it likely will not be caused by a tube.
A tube power amplifier is a different matter. Power tubes can arc and cause associated resistors to heat up and fail (these days, responsible manufacturers use 'flame proof' resistor types in those locations).
But we're not talking about tube amps, we *are* talking about tube preamps.