you have the likely culprits. MOV, capacitor, possibly the safety cap.
So the next question is "why?", "what did it do?" and ho to replace. Obviously the repair is influenced by why a cap failed. There are cues for anyone who knows the design int he fact that its still working. Sometimes products are in parallel and one can go. Sometimes they are intended to filter out noise in certain places, and maybe a 2nd order impact on performance/sound. But they are all there for a reason.
Let’s establish one fact: electrolytics capacitors are not the world’s most reliable parts. They die early. They die without obvious reason. The one predictable failure mode is old age, but your products are far too new. I am offering recap on some series of stuff i designed 30 years ago - and the vast majority are still in service. 5 or 10 years old is nothing. By way of contrast, I just got shipment of high quality 100v parts all of which fail at around 20V. QED.
I’d really hve someone who knows the design at minimum diagnose the reason.
One more possibility: an insect. Insects can become conductors if the voltage is high enough they might go bang themselves or possible conduct change voltage levels or loads and make a capacitors go bang. Seen that!
G