Film capacitors, inductors and resistors could last practically forever if not abused. Electrolytics after 20 years.
Assuming you never play it hard what will wear out is the surround and spider, that is, the suspension components. The modern synthetics are a lot better than the textile/cloth based surrounds but still I’d expect they’d be the first to do. Next question is, are they constantly exposed to direct sunlight?
Another risk factor is the cone material itself. Paper drivers can absorb moisture and deteriorate or dry out and crack. Magnesium (untreated) can also be subject to corrosion.