Onhwy,
Lower costs increase profits only if the top line can be held constant. Top line music sales are plummeting. Further, the major labels continue to face new competition that ranges from self publication to streaming subscription services. They can try to compete - see Spotify - but the total pot of $ they're chasing is shrinking.
Yeah, we still need book publishers (sorta), but we're not wiling to pay them as much as we used to. Same for TV networks. But, in each case, the value they add to the chain is diminishing. NBC, ABC, and CBS are losing share to HBO and Netflix, et al. They still add value but their historical primary function - sole distribution channel - is done. They can't get paid for that anymore and that will cause them to shrink or, at least, grow more slowly.
The purest example of this might be Kodak. Digital imaging sucked the lion's share of revenue from their business and their best case was survival as a much smaller company. If they had evolved as you suggest, they might have survived, but they wouldn't be Kodak (the huge company that we knew).
That's my point - the BIG profitable record company is a thing of the past. Maybe they'll make big profits promoting concerts, but they won't make them the traditional way; selling recorded music.
Lower costs increase profits only if the top line can be held constant. Top line music sales are plummeting. Further, the major labels continue to face new competition that ranges from self publication to streaming subscription services. They can try to compete - see Spotify - but the total pot of $ they're chasing is shrinking.
Yeah, we still need book publishers (sorta), but we're not wiling to pay them as much as we used to. Same for TV networks. But, in each case, the value they add to the chain is diminishing. NBC, ABC, and CBS are losing share to HBO and Netflix, et al. They still add value but their historical primary function - sole distribution channel - is done. They can't get paid for that anymore and that will cause them to shrink or, at least, grow more slowly.
The purest example of this might be Kodak. Digital imaging sucked the lion's share of revenue from their business and their best case was survival as a much smaller company. If they had evolved as you suggest, they might have survived, but they wouldn't be Kodak (the huge company that we knew).
That's my point - the BIG profitable record company is a thing of the past. Maybe they'll make big profits promoting concerts, but they won't make them the traditional way; selling recorded music.