Of course the number of actual cases is almost certainly considerably higher than the number of confirmed cases due to a number of issues including incubation period and testing itself. With this in mind an estimate of 64,000 confirmed cases in two weeks in the US could be a very optimistic number.
Gene DellaSala Has Coronavirus
If you haven’t seen this yet...our very best wishes and prayers to Gene and his family.
https://www.audioholics.com/editorials/coronavirus-and-tvs
https://www.audioholics.com/editorials/coronavirus-and-tvs
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Correct geoffkait. For every 10 known cases there are about 1000 you do not know about. The only way this could have been stopped was at the very beginning. So here is what has to happen. The entire low risk population has to self immunize by getting exposed. As the immunity of the herd increases the block to further spread will increase and the disease will die down which is exactly what is happening in China now. The case reports are falling off. In the mean while "at risk" people are going to have to maintain a low profile until it blows over. I tell my older patients to stay home and avoid visitors. If they have to go out shopping they should go out just when the store opens in the AM and wear a NIOSH N95 mask which I supply them with. In two to three months it will blow over and everyone will wonder what all the excitement was about. |
my logic is not your logic. Your logic is not your neighbor’s logic. You know that your logic will never prevail and never work. Neither will mine. We can all have excellent functional plans, but the outcome will be none of that, it will be..whatever it is. And that given whatever...is usually ugly and formed by the emotion of the crowd vs the misapplication of faulty logic and incorrect force by the given authority. |
Some helpful info from Johns Hopkins re Corona vs Influenza viruses. https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-disease-2019-... |
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