I had to go see a doctor here in Bellevue today. For those who don't know I work in health care, 15 years x-ray, and live in Redmond, which if you look on a map is within 5 miles of Kirkland and just about everyone who has died in Washington State so far. Back in January I posted the Public Service Announcement thread that was chock full of so much verifiably accurate information on the subject that it caused a big commotion and was of course taken down. Because that's what we do with Truth nowadays: shout it down, bully it into silence, pretend it does not exist.
The difference between this and all the other BS its compared to is this is spreading and infecting people at an exponential rate that sees infections double somewhere between every 2 and 7 days. The difference being not the actual infection rate, but the rate at which it is tested for. If like in the US you do not test, then presto, you do not have cases.
So we supposedly had just the one man in Everett back in January. Man got off a plane from China, we are supposed to believe he was the only one on the plane infected. Does that sound reasonable to you? Okay. Whatever.
Let's assume for the sake of argument it really was just the one. Four days later, 2. Four days later, 4. Do the math. Month later its 1500, 2000, something like that. Almost exactly the same time as suddenly it kills half a dozen at one nursing home.
There were at the time 120 being cared for there. Next thing you know its less than 70. Where did they go? No one knows. For some reason they test 35 of the remaining. 31 come up positive. Does it seem reasonable that all the 70 who left were okay? When 31 of 35 are infected?
A Bellevue lab does a gene sequence study, estimates based on genome alone 1500 carriers. Does anyone notice? Doubling rate, 1500 to 2000. Gene study 1500. Same time frame. Anyone? Beuller?
Couple weeks ago I notice a nasty bump on my face. Nasty as in want a cancer specializing dermatologist to have a look and excise it. Did I mention I am in health care? I do not go out and expose myself to the greatest global pandemic of my lifetime for no good reason.
Anyone care to guess what happens next? They call and say hey, our receptionist tested positive. But its okay, she's only part time, and we clean real good. I am not kidding! So how's that for a choice, eh? Cancer. Virus. So I put my N95 mask on and suck it up.
Get there, guess who is the only one wearing a mask? Right. Receptionist (different one!) says we don't need a mask. Nurse checks me in, says we don't need a mask. MD asks me how's it going. Well pretty good except for none of you wearing a mask. Do you not know this is aerosol?
Yes we know its aerosol. (MD in on conspiracy theory then? Rhetorical Q)
Do you not know contagious without symptoms? Yes we know that too.
MD then proceeds to tell me in no uncertain terms that I am right, that he agrees with me totally, that everyone should be wearing a mask, and that he is constantly arguing with management but they will not let him wear a mask because the CDC says you don't need a mask.
So we all know we need a mask. But because the CDC says we don't, now millions will die.
No exaggeration. Because do the math. The 1500-2000, that was 2 weeks ago. 2000 became 4000 became 8000 and its now north of 10,000. Long before the end of April, even at the lower 7 day doubling rate, it will be a million infected. That's just in the greater Puget Sound area alone. It then takes anywhere from one to three weeks to develop symptoms, and another one to two weeks (the mean is 9 days) for symptoms to worsen to where hospitalization is required.
So figure one million infected, 10% need hospitalization, that's 100k and all by the end of May. I know this is hard to believe. But math is math. Not only is math math, but that is exactly what has already happened, first in China, now in Italy. No one has enough hospital beds. No one has enough MDs. The whole of Washington State doesn't have enough beds for just the people who will need them right now even if we somehow snap our fingers and stop any further infections.
Which we sure are not gonna do by everyone running around breathing virus all over everyone and everything else. What we are gonna have is exactly what Italy has right now- people with stroke, people literally dying, and no bed or doctor or anything. Nobody even knows how high the death rate is. Can't keep up with the body count, let alone test for cause.
This is what you all are joking about. Its no joke. Its real.
Anthony Fauci is now head of Infectious Diseases and recently said, he doesn't care if your city has one case, or none. Its coming. I wish it weren't but it is."
Get a mask. Wear it. Everywhere. All the time. If you can't get a mask pull a scarf or bandana up and cover your face. Wash hands frequently. Never touch face, eyes, mouth, nose without first washing hands. Do not go out unless you absolutely must. When you do maintain a distance even with people wearing a mask. When you return home remove clothing at the door, sanitize your hands, go straight to the bathroom and wash face hands and arms.
This is what they are doing in Korea, Singapore, and Hong Kong, the only places that seem to have effectively slowed the virus.
This is not just about your health. For the vast majority, 80% or more, this will be no worse than a bad case of the flu. The difference is so many more will be infected and die it will overwhelm our medical system. People will be forced to stay home whether they want to or not. The financial and economic collapse that is coming will be epic.
This is no joke. So stop joking about it. Please.
And oh, yeah, it turned out to be basal cell carcinoma. Waiting on the lab to cell type it. That is not my concern. I know the virus is the real danger. You should too.
