Notice how many SACD collections for sale?

That's where I shop for my stuff - well the Fry's in Fremont, but they have 3 - 5 foot shelves full of SACD and I think one section of DVD-A.

Milpai, the pessimist are in the funeral,burying
their SACD's,and crying and waiting for the blue
ray.

Yes Jayctoy. And I think in 2009 we will have a forum on Audiogon with the following topics:

Notice how many Blu-Ray collections for sale?
Another sign Blu-Ray is dying

OR

Notice how many HD-DVD collections for sale?
Another sign HD-DVD is dying

Wow..it would be so nice, if we could predict the future.

The same logic applies for HD-DVD and Blu-Ray - If the quality of the SACD or DVD-A isn't enough to get the average consumer to buy it (audiophiles only)- Then why would they buy HD or Blu-Ray? It will fail too.

So, it will be a loooooong wait for the next hi-rez format if there ever is one.

Robm321, I think that the audiophile community is pretty small. Assuming that there was another format for the past 40 years and if LP were to be released today, it would also not have been accepted by today's consumers.
The only failures are the big corporates who fell flat on their face to grab audience's attention without listining to their voice. If a technology is good and people start to like it, it will latch on, only it might take some time.
I feel that the Blu-Ray and HD-DVD are targeted at video more than audio. But if they are targeting the audio sector, then you are absolutely right - your logic applies :-))